ISLAMABAD: Fuel prices in Pakistan are likely to go down by up to Rs6.30 per litre from Sunday for the next 15 days, ending December 15, 2025. The expected cut comes due to slight changes in global oil prices.
According to sources, the ex-depot price of high-speed diesel (HSD) may decrease by around Rs3.70 per litre (1.4pc), while the price of petrol may fall by Rs4.30 per litre (1.5pc), depending on final calculations.
Since June 1, 2025, petrol prices have gone up by around Rs12.50 per litre, and HSD by Rs29 per litre.
Prices of other petroleum products are also expected to fall. Kerosene may drop by Re1 (0.3pc), and light diesel oil (LDO) may reduce by Rs6.35 per litre (3.7pc). At present, kerosene is priced at Rs194.34, and LDO at Rs170.80 per litre.
The current ex-depot petrol price of Rs265.45 per litre may come down to Rs261.75. Petrol is widely used in private cars, motorcycles, rickshaws, and small vehicles, and directly affects middle- and lower-income households.
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Meanwhile, the ex-depot price of HSD, which is Rs284.44 per litre, may fall to Rs280 per litre on December 1. Diesel is considered inflationary because it powers heavy vehicles, buses, trucks, trains, tractors, and other agricultural machinery. These vehicles play a key role in transporting vegetables and other essential goods.
Transporters had increased fares by around Rs27 per litre between May and August, and have still not reduced fares, even after a recent cut of Rs9 per litre.
The government is currently charging around Rs100 per litre on petrol and Rs96 per litre on diesel through different taxes and levies. While GST is zero on petroleum products, the government collects Rs78 per litre on diesel and Rs82 per litre on petrol under the petroleum development levy and climate support levy (including Rs2.50 CSL).
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Customs duty of Rs16–17 per litre is also charged on petrol and diesel, whether locally produced or imported. Oil companies and dealers further earn about Rs17 per litre as distribution and sale margins.
Petrol and diesel remain the biggest revenue sources, with monthly sales reaching 700,000–800,000 tonnes, while kerosene demand stays very low at around 10,000 tonnes.
The government collected Rs1.161 trillion from the petroleum levy in FY25 and expects this revenue to rise by 27pc to Rs1.470 trillion during the current fiscal year.
